The forecasting of transmission network loads
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Authors
Payne, Daniel Frederik
Issue Date
1997-11
Type
Dissertation
Language
en
Keywords
Electrical load forecast , Demand load forecast , Load forecast model , Demand load forecast model , Point load forecast for electrical network modelling , Electrical network parameter forecast , MW forecast , Transmission electrical network forecast , Transmission electrical network demand forecast , Neural networks , Multiple regression
Alternative Title
Abstract
The forecasting of Eskom transmission electrical network demands is a complex task. The lack of historical data on some of the network components complicates this task even further. In this dissertation a model is suggested
which will address all the requirements of the transmission system expansion engineers in terms of future loads and market trends. Suggestions are made with respect to ways of overcoming the lack of historical data, especially on the point loads, which is a key factor in modelling the electrical networks. A brief overview of the transmission electrical network layout is included to provide a better understanding of what is required from such a forecast. Lastly, some theory on multiple regression, neural networks and qualitative forecasting techniques is included, which will be of value for further model developments.
Description
Citation
Payne, Daniel Frederik (1997) The forecasting of transmission network loads, University of South Africa, Pretoria, <http://hdl.handle.net/10500/15752>