Young Black Men’s Risk to Firearm Homicide in Night Time
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Authors
Kramer, Sherianne
Ratele, Kopano
Issue Date
2012
Type
Article
Language
en
Keywords
fire-arm , homicide , Johannesburg , interpersonal violence , night time , South Africa , young black males
Alternative Title
Abstract
Based on data from the South African National Injury Mortality Surveillance System (NIMSS), an epidemiological
surveillance system of fatal injuries, this article reports on a retrospective analysis of the data on homicide in
Johannesburg, South Africa. In South Africa, as is the case in other African countries, the collection of comprehensive,
quality injury data, on which inferential analyses can be conducted, remains a challenge. As such, the analysis here
was drawn from the NIMSS for homicides in Johannesburg for the years 2001 to 2005, as this period off ered one
the most complete datasets for homicide for the city. Focusing on the 5153 night time homicide victims, a binary
logistic regression model was utilised to identify the likelihood of specifi c risk factors occurring in certain groups
of people and contexts. The results illustrate that sex, race and time at night are particularly important risk factors
for night time fi rearm homicide and the most at-risk population for night time homicide is urbanised young black
men. The article concludes with a discussion of implications the results might have for preventative eff orts, calling
for programming targeted at young black men. Limitations of the investigation are noted.
Description
Citation
Publisher
MRC-UNISA
License
Journal
Volume
Issue
PubMed ID
DOI
ISSN
1728-774X